Product thinking
External probabilities become valuable when they change hedge behavior.
AutoHedge uses prediction markets as one signal among several, translating shifts in probability into concrete hedge logic.
A probability feed is not enough
Watching event odds on a side monitor does not meaningfully reduce risk. The value appears when those odds are wired into the decision layer that manages exposure.
Signals need context
Probability changes should be evaluated alongside position size, liquidity, funding, and venue conditions. A single signal should not dominate hedge behavior on its own.